The first big city which recently became the capital of a new region of Russia will be abandoned by Russian forces. On November 9, the Russian military announced the withdrawal from Kherson.

Commander of the Russian military operation in Ukraine, Russian General Surovikin, reported to Defence Minister Shoigu a plan to withdraw Russian troops to new defensive lines along the Dnieper River. The Russian Defence Minister approved it. The transfer of Russian forces from the right bank of the river will be carried out in the near future.

The main statements declared by General Sergei Surovikin included:

The situation in the area of the special operation is generally stabilized, the combat capabilities of the joint forces have increased significantly, the combat strength has been increased at the expense of the mobilized servicemen, reserves have been created.

Russian troops have resumed offensive operations in certain areas. All attempts of offensive actions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Kupyansk and Krasnolimansk directions have been stopped.

There are street battles on the eastern outskirts of Artemovsk (Bakhmut). The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation have resumed offensive operations, the enemy was defeated on the right bank of the Bakhmutka River in the Donetsk direction.

From August to October, the AFU lost more than 9.5 thousand people killed and wounded in the Kherson direction. In October, the Ukrainian army lost over 12,000 soldiers. The losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are 7-8 times less than those of the enemy.

Due to constant shelling, Kherson and adjacent settlements cannot be supplied and function, people’s lives are constantly in danger. The most appropriate option is to organize defense along the barrier line of the Dnieper River. The decision to take defensive positions on the left bank of the Dnieper River is not easy, at the same time, we will save the lives of our military and the combat capability of the units.

The maneuver will be carried out in the near future.

Shoigu agreed with these conclusions and suggestions. He ordered to withdraw troops from Kherson.

The withdrawal of Russian troops in the Kherson region is already the 3rd Russia’s major military defeat in Ukraine after the loss of the towns of Balakleya and Krasny Liman.

One of the reasons for the surrender was the inability of Russian forces to provide supplies and secure the logistics on the right bank of the Dnieper river. It means that Ukrainian forces managed to disable or seriously disrupt Russian communication lines through the water barrier. Russian troops had to defend a large area on the prolonged front lines. They continuously repelled Ukrainian attacks but the risk of being surrounded remained high.

The withdrawal to the left bank to the new lines of defence seems to be a difficult, tragic and controversial decision, but it was, apparently, dictated by a military necessity. A potential large-scale battle on the right bank of the Dnieper river would lead to heavy losses and, according to various estimates, could undermine the combat capability of the entire Russian Army. The defense of the city of Kherson was possible, but would have been accompanied by heavy losses among the civilian population and Russian combat-ready military units.

The withdrawal of Russian troops will undermine the security of several strategically important civilian facilities, including the Kakhovskaya hydro power plant, the Antonovsky bridge, North-Crimean water channel which was re-opened after years of the water blockade of the peninsula. So far, a lot of civilians have been evacuated from the dangerous area to the left bank of the river. Since November 9, people could leave the city by their own means.

The decision of the Russian military entails dangerous military threats for the Russian side. According to open sources, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine holds at least eight brigades in the Kherson direction, which have recently lost some of their offensive potential, but are still combat-ready. They include the 28th, 60th, 61st mechanized brigades, 59th motorized infantry and 35th marine brigades, 46th airmobile, 128th mountain assault and 17th tank brigades, as well as at least three brigades of the so-called territorial defence. Since the Russian military lost the possibility to launch offensive operations in the region in the nearest future, most of these Ukrainian units will be transfered to the front lines in other war-torn regions.

It is expected that another area of the Ukrainian offensive could be the Zaporozhie region where the AFU may attempt to advance towards Mariupol in order to cut the entire Russian grouping in Ukraine, as well as to cut the road from the mainland Russia to Crimea.

Russian withdrawal from Kherson is also a heavy informational blow to Moscow. The West and Kiev declare the Russian retreat is an unconditional victory of Ukrainian forces. As a result of a successful Western media campaign, Russia’s today’s decision will significantly increase the flow of Western weapons to the war-torn country after they allegedly proved their effectiveness on the battlefield and the policies of the Kiev’s partners led to important military and political results.

“It is encouraging to see how the brave Ukrainian forces are able to liberate more Ukrainian territory.” Stoltenberg claimed

Adviser to the head of the presidential administration of Ukraine, Mikhail Podolyak, has also claimed that the “liberation” of Kherson or another important city by Ukrainians would not be a starting point for negotiations with Moscow.

“…Kherson is not the point after which the negotiation process will be really possible. It is nonsense to talk about a serious negotiation process after the liberation of Kherson, after the liberation of Lugansk and the like. No. President Zelensky clearly means: they left the territory of Ukraine – after that, of course, a negotiation process is possible,” Podolyak said in an interview with Present Time.

If the surrender of Kherson was another Russia’s gesture of goodwill and an attempt to start peace negotiations, then it immediately failed.

The Russian military is yet to begin the withdrawal from the right bank of the Dnieper River in the Kherson region. According to various reports from the area, Russian forces have recently reinforced their defences on the Kherson front lines. In their turn, the Ukrainian military officials have also declared that there is still no sign of the upcoming Russian retreat. The Kiev regime reacts cautiously, being afraid to fall into Russian information trap. There are also doubts that the Russian military command would openly declare its plans in the war-torn region which would provide the Ukrainian side with time necessary to inflict more damage to the retreating forces.