Doesn’t seem important, right? Well, actually–not. Very important but it is not easy for some (that is why I do what I do) to make a clear connection between grand strategy, economics and military operational-tactical matters.
As anyone with the IQ above room temperature already stated not for once, all those “price caps”, be that for gas or oil from Russia, are nothing more than optics. No solution to Europe’s energy crisis is possible for a primary reason of EU’s bureaucracy incompetence and being ideologically driven, with the latter being a broad term covering anything from suicidal sanctions on Russia to Europe being prepped for sacrifice on the altar of collapsing US “empire”. It still will not help much the US due to pretty much same reasons as in EU, but, as I am on record, should the US have had competent “elites”, the plan may have worked.
In related news:
This shit has been in “discussion” since the onset of SMO and it really makes no difference, if one assumes that the decision will be made to supply F-16 (or any other combat aircraft), to Ukraine since for Buk-M3 or S-300V with S-400 it makes absolutely no difference if it is F-16, F-15 or F-35–they will be shot down the same way as 99% of Ukrainian Air Force was. Random popping out, here and there, of the remnants of Ukie combat aircraft (primarily Su-25 and very seldom MiG-29) ends always with the same result–being shot down. Including by Russian Air Force combat aircraft such as Su-35s. I want to reiterate the point–the US doesn’t need another humiliation of its military technology in the open conflict. Most of it turned out to be primarily a commercial and terror product, good mostly against civilians and civilian infrastructure.
Now, for some hysterical and FUD susceptible, if not altogether gullible, people:
I happen to agree with Peskov on the issue of pluralism. For those people who continue their (utterly amateurish) talk about “mobilization” they:
1. Have no idea what they are talking about;
2. Usually repeat Western and IPSO propaganda, often not even understanding this fact.
3. That is why I am on record: 99% of all those “military” telegram channels, military “analysts”, military “reporters”, “patriots” and “strategists” are frauds–they have zero military expertise, least of all in serious operational matters, let alone in understanding what mobilization is and what it entails.
I will repeat, again, that the bulk of Russian ground forces still remains in reserve and the actual number of Russian regulars fighting in Ukraine is (I speculate) out of 300,000 + is somewhere between 60 and 80,000. The rest of the force is LDNR militia and volunteers, who are about the size of 50-60,000. This force size is sufficient for the aims of SMO and for methodical annihilation of VSU’s personnel and equipment. Real numbers and correlations are known to Russian General Staff only. Once one begins to put together all (known to us, mere mortals) factors of geopolitical, economic, diplomatic, military nature, in other words understanding “the nature of war”, then one may stop repeating beaten to death political and military cliches, akin to:”Russia MUST understand that it fights with whole West”–no shit, geniuses, that is why Russia issued an ultimatum to combined West in December of 2021. So, try to see, truly see, not jumping from one particularity to another, the larger picture, and do not forget what demilitarization is all about. I will try to help on my side.