The RUSSTRAT Institute presents the transcript of the speech of the Member of the Board (Minister) in charge of Integration and Macroeconomics of the EEC Sergey Glazyev at the round table “Russia: what image of the future meets the goals of national development?” held on June 1, 2022 in the REGNUM news agency, organized by the RUSSTRAT Institute and the REGNUM news agency.
We now turn to the fundamental questions of our being. And a special military operation is a catalyst for this process of understanding our place in the world and, of course, we need an image of the future. I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the special military operation, which was originally announced as denazification, demilitarization – we understand what this means for Ukraine – now the stakes have gradually begun to rise on this front.
Everyone is already saying that this is a global hybrid war, although it was clear from the beginning that the special operation should be considered in a much broader context. Now many believe that this is a civilizational war , where different worldview systems are confronted. It is clear that this is a war of good against evil and a war for the survival of mankind in the long run.
Before talking about the image of our future, I would like to draw your attention to the patterns of long-term socio-economic and political development. We – I mean a group of scientists from the Academy of Sciences who work in long cycles of economic and social development – firstly, managed to foresee this particular war of 2022. Back in 1914, it was clear that the challenge we faced and the result of which was reunification with Crimea would certainly affect the entire Russian world, including the territory of Ukraine. I even got a book called The Last World War: The US Starts and Loses.
Somewhere, what we see today was absolutely almost precisely formulated, including the number of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the role of the Americans and the British in this occupation of Ukraine, as well as the cultivation of Ukrainian Nazism. All this was predicted almost to the last detail. We continue our research. According to which the peak of confrontation falls on 2024 . This is the forecast that my colleague gave 10 years ago, even before the current military operation, and even before 2014. And then there were no our new political seven-year cycles.
Why 2024 and why are we in this hybrid war situation? The fact is that the modern period is characterized by two simultaneous revolutionary events.The first is the technological revolution, which used to be talked about a lot. It is called differently, we say that this is a change in technological structures. And this change of technological structures always occurs through economic depression, which in this cycle began in the world since 2008 – from the beginning of the global financial crisis.
And during this transitional phase, a new technological order has already been formed, a well-known complex of nano-engineering information and communication technologies, which is evolving not only into the economy. But also in the methods of warfare, too. We actually see that we are not just facing an enemy based in the Pentagon and Mi-6. Our troops are facing artificial intelligence. This is already a war of a new technological order.
But a more important point is the change of world economic structures in the context of our topic today. The change of economic structures is a process that occurs once a century and during which the management system changes. Previously, we would have called this the process of a socio-political revolution, but, arguing in a modern way, this is a cardinal change in the institutions of world economic relations, production relations and the entire system of managing socio-economic development, which is accompanied by a change in the centers of the world economy.
The world economy is rapidly shifting to Southeast Asia, which already accounts for more than half of the growth in gross domestic product. And in this new center of the world economy, a completely different system of governance has been formed compared to the one in which we live today. I must say that the change in world economic structures, you see in this picture above. These are world economic structures with a cycle of change once a century. And at the bottom are technological, the change of technological structures, in which the cycle of phases of change is about 50 years.
Technological modes are well known in the literature as long Kondratiev waves, more precisely, the life cycles of technological modes and their growth phase is a long “Kondratiev wave”. The growth phase of the world economic structure is a secular cycle of capital accumulation.
Once a century, a dangerous resonance occurs when we simultaneously face a technological revolution, a socio-economic revolution, and a socio-political revolution. During this process, not only the technology changes, but also the mindset changes. Ideology is changing, if you like.
As an example, let us cite the previous phase of the change in world economic structures. This is a process that always, unfortunately, takes place through world wars.World wars in this case are due to the fact that the ruling elite of the previous center of the world economy does not want to part with its hegemony and is trying with all its might to keep it, up to the unleashing of a world war. 100 years ago, when changing the colonial world economy to the imperial world, it went through two wars, through the First and Second World Wars, between which there was a great depression.
The colonial world economy is a system of industrial relations based on a private family firm. In political terms, the British Empire received the greatest scope for this world economic structure. Where the combination of institutions of state administration, the core of which was the monarchical rule of Great Britain, with private capitalist enterprise, gave rise to the English bourgeois oligarchy, which managed to organize large monopolies of the trade and manufacturing type, which ensured the dominance of Britain on the seas and oceans.
This is the world economic structure of the colonies, where the Russian Empire also played a significant role. This way of life had exhausted its possibilities of development by the end of the 19th century. This was due to the fact that the possibilities of using slave labor were exhausted. The model is well described by Marx. When people were traded as human beings on a huge scale – not only in the colonies, but also in the metropolises. People were exploited for 12 hours a day without days off. Private capital used such labor as the main source of enrichment. There was no labor law, no trade unions, no welfare state. All this appeared with the imperial world economic order.
But here it is important to understand that Great Britain has reached the limits of development and countries with more progressive systems of government have begun to step on their heels.Including the Russian Empire, Germany, Austria-Hungary, USA. British intelligence agencies provoked the First World War, as a result of which Britain became the world leader. It would seem that it intensified as much as possible, but only 20 years passed – and the Great Depression was not drawn in. No measures to save the British Empire helped. They then – as today the United States against China – waged a trade war against the United States, imposed an embargo on the import of American goods.
It ended up that during the Second World War the British Empire, although it remained among the winners, could not take advantage of the victory due to the archaic nature of its management system. She no longer needed anyone. It no longer provided any economic progress. Economic growth based on the exploitation of slave labor ceased to produce a surplus product. The British Empire collapsed just 2 years after World War II. This is important for us now from the point of view of historical analogy.
New world economic order. We called it imperial, because for the first time in the world it covered almost the entire planet. two thirds of the world. The other third was the Soviet Union.Its world economic structure was based on a welfare state, on vertically integrated large production structures. On the issue of money and the use of money not so much as capital, but as an instrument for financing economic growth.
In general, the world economic order was in three ideological varieties. The first two are well known to us. The Soviet system with research and production associations led by the Communist Party, which built socialism with a claim to communism. The American system, which was based on transnational corporations and the endless issuance of the dollar, which allowed them to lead the world expansion.
And the third system that has sunk into oblivion thanks to the feat of the Soviet people is the system of European fascism, in which German National Socialism, together with the Italian corporate state and Nazis of all stripes from various other European countries, tried to impose their Nazi version of this world economic order on the world.
I note that the colonial world economic structure actually turned out to be absolutely uncompetitive. Britain lost the war in Europe to German fascism in just two years, and only the might of the Soviet Union and the help of the United States, a country that already had a new system of government, managed to crush this fascist scenario. And then the British colonial system died.
That is, this historical experience shows that the change of world economic structures goes through the public consciousness, of course. And the emergence of a new management system, and this is, first of all, relations between people, cannot but be combined with a new system of ideas, views and principles.
Now we have a similar process going on. We are moving away from the imperial world economy, where only the United States remained. There, this transition began with the collapse of the Soviet Union. It is the same as 100 years ago, lasts for 30 years. Just as the previous transition lasted practically from the year 14 to 1947. So the current transition has been going on for a third of a century.
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, which was the first to fail the demands of scientific and technological progress, we now see the collapse of the United States. The US is no longer the world leader. In an attempt to overcome the global financial crisis through pumping money, the United States eventually led the situation to the breakdown of the entire financial system and increasing inflation, which is already reaching 30% at enterprise prices.
We saw the self-discrediting of the American system in the last presidential elections, which were actually rigged. America is not a more attractive way. In addition, compared to China and India, which have been brilliant for the past 15 years, both the US and the EU, despite a fourfold increase in the monetary base, have not been able to embark on sustainable economic development. The effectiveness of the Western management system – if we take it in terms of efficiency – money emission is 20-25%. Only every 4th or 5th euro that is issued goes to the manufacturing sector.
In China and India, a fundamentally different system of governance has been formed, which combines strategic central planning with market competition, where the state plays a dominant role in organizing money circulation and provides private businesses with unlimited access to money if this leads to an increase in public welfare.
All forecasts show that by the end of this decade, the old world economic order will have more than halved by now, and the core of the Asian accumulation cycle – China, India, the countries of Indochina, Japan, Korea – will already absolutely dominate in all macroeconomic indicators.
This process is irreversible, but the closer this transition, which is obvious to everyone, the less power remains in the core of the old world economic order, the more aggressive they become. And here the same mechanism of hybrid warfare works, which the British used in the First World War and in the Second World War. We called them hybrid because the wars were over territory.
Within the framework of the new world economic order, wars are now going on for consciousness, for the minds of citizens of different countries, and, unlike the war of the last century, the current war is a war, first of all, for dominance in the public consciousness. Therefore, the main front is the information-cognitive front. Here the questions of ideology are the main ones.
The second most important front is the monetary and financial front, where the US and the European Union still dominate. And only in the third place are tanks, missiles and aircraft used, which, in fact, within the framework of this hybrid-world war, are called upon to punish the vanquished. That is, to intimidate, to destroy any desire for resistance, and the like.
Just as Great Britain unleashed the First World War, when it already understood that the combined power of Germany, Russia, Austria-Hungary exceeded the British and a few years remained for a turning point in world leadership, so the American ruling elite started a world hybrid war. At the same time, as we see, the US trade war against China is unfolding.The sanctions war against us has already been going on for more than 8 years – and this aggravation of geopolitical tensions today is pouring into dramatic events in which we are fully involved today.
How does the new world economic order differ from the previous, imperial one? Please note that the state that is formed today in China and India, it incorporates all the achievements of state building of previous eras. This is a welfare state. It is a democratic, rule of law state, but at the same time it is sovereign. That is, the peculiarity of the new world economic order is that the leading state does not try to impose its models on all other countries.
If there were three models in the imperial world economic structure, two of which took place – the Soviet and American, and the third, which did not take place – the German fascist. They tried to remake the whole world in their own image and likeness. Everywhere create the same fractals as in the center.
World economic sovereignty is being restored in the new world economic order. This is a fundamentally important point. The state in this new world economic order restores moral values. This is a humane state, just, intellectual, responsible and, to put it briefly, ideologically, it is a socialist state.
But in China we see the familiar image of the Communist Party at the head of this state. India has the largest democracy in the world, but let’s not discount Gandhian socialism. All these traditions are alive and management models – I draw your attention – in China and India are quite close. State control over the banking system, unlimited lending for production growth, use of the market for the purposes of economic efficiency of market competition.
The state stimulates private entrepreneurship, and unlimitedly stimulates if it generates income. Hence the increase in the well-being of the people. If private entrepreneurship is destructive, engages in speculation, tries to cash in on the destabilization of the economy, such entrepreneurship is severely blocked. Both China and India have strict foreign exchange controls, and the export of capital is not allowed. Money is provided from 0% to 4-6%, depending on the priority of loans. Target credit emission is widely used as a strategic planning tool.
We called it integral because the state gathers society here. It gathers different social groups around the main criterion – the rise of social welfare. Accordingly, the entire economic policy is based on this criterion. Let us compare the essence of the economic policy pursued in the new world economic order.
Here, comparing the existing models of the Washington consensus, I will draw attention to the main difference. First, the purpose of economics is not to make money in any way. The purpose of the economy is to raise social welfare.
Therefore, from here – strategic planning, from here – the use of money as a tool. Hence – progressive taxation and practical measures to ensure social justice.All the requirements of a welfare state are in education and healthcare. Which should be free, ensure the reproduction of human capital as fully as possible. The tax system of the tax budget is focused on development, and not just on the so-called “functions of a police bureaucratic state.” Prices are regulated based on the desired proportions of the reproduction of the economy.
Collaboration dominates in labor relations, and the antagonism between labor and capital disappears completely. In our understanding, the national enterprise acts as the dominant form of private property. An enterprise in which the workers are also the owners.
This is how Huawei, Xiaomi and others that grow out of cooperatives grow. That is, this is an economy of social partnership, where money is profit and everything that torments our economy with the export of capital, all this is limited in the system of economic regulation so that people’s income grows. And the entrepreneur grew in proportion to his contribution to the rise of social welfare.
And there are no questions here whether an industrial policy, agricultural, scientific and technical, is needed. These are all obvious key public policies that manage the market mechanism in the way that is needed to raise public welfare.
Let us now turn to the ideological versions of this new world economic structure. The building of socialism continues in China. Although with Chinese characteristics, but it must be understood in this way. If Soviet socialism sought to make the whole world happy, we wanted to achieve a socialist system all over the world by spending a lot of money on this, then socialism with Chinese characteristics means that the socialist idea and the national idea go together.
And in China we see the following slogans – this is a society of universal prosperity, this is the great rebirth of the Chinese nation. That is, here the idea of socialism and positive nationalism, which does not claim to be national exclusiveness, but puts the well-being of its own country at the forefront, is a key characteristic.
We see the same in India. Combination of socialism, market economy and national idea. The national idea, although it is applied in terms of increasing prosperity. This is understandable for a country that has a gigantic population that has lived in poverty for centuries. For them, the rise of prosperity is a certain key moment, no national idea. Moreover, unlike Soviet socialism, which grew up in a “besieged fortress” environment and at the same time inevitably had mobilization features and the suppression of personal freedom in order to save society and the state, there are no such risks here. Not in China, not in India.
But it is obvious that the further development of the world in the foreseeable future will proceed in the same way as in the 20th century, where there was competition between the communist Soviet Union and democratic America.Now the confrontation will unfold between the “democratic West”, communist China and democratic India. The question is where we will be.
There is a third version of this ideology of the new world economic order. He, in fact, is a continuation of the Nazi Western, so to speak, worldview vector. Racism dominated the English Empire in the 19th century, Nazism dominated Europe for a long time during World War II.
And now the receivers of this misanthropic form fill it with the content of posthumanism. An electronic concentration camp, everyone must walk in formation and obey the requirements of the World Health Organization or other analogues of a world government.
That is, this is the idea of a transition to a post-humanistic, post-human state, when people are seen as a tool of manipulation. More precisely, the object of manipulation – and the ideology is built under the atomization of society.
That is, the main ideological vector is the deprivation of people of any collective identity. National identity, gender identity. In general, even human identity. People begin to perceive themselves as anything – cyborgs, animals, plants.
Dehumanization is underway, and this kind of posthuman material is being built into easily manipulated and artificial intelligence, replacing already, in general, ideologists, imposing their own models of behavior on this posthumanity and forcing people to behave as the world’s artificial oligarchic management needs.
At the same time, we see the development of methods that allow us to bring this posthuman society to any state. To the point of collective self-destruction. I am sure that if they start injecting a vaccine with some kind of poison, there are already mechanisms, the majority will line up and take this vaccine.
We are in this transitional world state on the periphery, frankly speaking. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, we found ourselves on the economic periphery of the United States. Our country was used as a typical peripheral country, from which billions of tons of resources were pumped, capital was pumped out. The brain drain from us there, for which, in fact, the Bologna system was needed.
Those who pushed the Bologna system were embarrassed to say directly – the Bologna system is needed in order to facilitate the brain drain. That we trained qualified personnel here for free, they could easily and naturally move, get a master’s degree abroad and stay there. They made us a peripheral country with all its characteristics.
Now, after the West went to war with us and erected barriers in almost all areas, we are talking about changing the paradigm of governance. But we must understand that so far this change in our control system has not even affected us at all. It is from the other side that barriers were erected that robbed our system of government. That is, they made it difficult to export capital, but I note that as soon as the situation stabilized a little, our monetary authorities again begin to export capital.
Again they begin to stimulate the export of capital! At least take it in rubles, at least take money from us! That is, our “monetary power” works the same way as before. They are not given the opportunity to create conditions for the outflow of capital, they have, in fact, canceled the possibility of applying the budget rule, but all this still remains and the budget rule has not disappeared yet. It simply cannot be used in the conditions of the arrest of foreign exchange reserves.
They introduced the mandatory sale of foreign exchange earnings in order to stabilize the exchange rate. Now they want to continue to leave foreign exchange earnings abroad, perhaps it will be confiscated in the same way as state foreign exchange reserves. That is, our monetary policy remains deeply peripheral, it still follows the rules of the IMF and the Washington Consensus.
Due to the sanctions, society suddenly realized that we are a very rich country, that we could live twice as well as we live, because the outflow of capital has stopped. As soon as the outflow of capital stopped, the ruble immediately rose, the purchasing power increased 1.5 times, and the ruble strengthened further. That is, until now the main target function of the “monetary authorities” was the enrichment of currency speculators.
That is what the Central Bank worked for. Inflation targeting is ridiculous, because the main inflation factor is the devaluation of the ruble in a situation where the formation of the ruble exchange rate is carried out by speculators, primarily international speculators. And only 5% of transactions on the Moscow Exchange are transactions for exporters and importers.
It is obvious that the ruble exchange rate has been manipulated all these 8 years.On this, tens of billions of dollars were taken out of Russia. It was the currency speculators, in which the American speculators played the main role, that were the main beneficiary of the monetary policy pursued. Now, due to political sanctions, this has become impossible. We are being forced, forced to switch to a new system of governance.
What should be the control system? There is no need to guess here. We see examples of the established new system of governance in China and India. This is, of course, a mixed system of government, where the main setting works towards the goal of increasing public welfare. The state is engaged in strategic planning.
Here is Elena Vladimirovna Panina, one of the authors of the law on strategic planning, who put a lot of effort into its promotion. We have had the law for many years. But at first its introduction was delayed, now it ends with the writing of tens of thousands of documents on strategic planning, but there are no mechanisms for its implementation.
Although if you look, we all exist separately. The mechanism of private and state partnership, special contracts, multilateral investment agreements, special refinancing tools that the Central Bank could use to bring cheap loans to increase investment. Separately, all this is, but in general the system does not work.
For many years now, we have been proposing to switch to a system of advanced development, where the emphasis would be on the strategy and modernization of economic development based on a new technological order. According to our estimates, we could achieve growth of at least 8% per year, using idle production facilities, saturating the economy with money and enabling enterprises to receive loans at a maximum of 2-3% for the final borrower, for financing investments, for increasing production.
This is the fullest possible use of our scientific and technical potential, this is the in-depth processing of raw materials. Atwe have no restrictions on economic growth, except for the artificial high cost of credit created by the “monetary authorities”. Enterprises cannot take out a loan not at 18%, not at 11%, they need to bring a loan at 1-3% per annum, as is done in China and India.
Here we in the Eurasian Union are struggling with the export of round timber, we have introduced an embargo, but for some reason the timber is being taken to China. Because in China the state allocated as much money as needed, at 0.2% per annum for 10 years, in order for business to create an infrastructure for processing, packaging and harvesting Siberian timber.
They created the infrastructure, they further began to provide our loggers with interest-free seasonal loans, and, not being able to take a loan from us, our loggers go to China and take loans there. And they carry the forest to them – voluntarily and without any coercion. Inside the country, they do not have the opportunity to take loans in order to harvest timber during the season and then, having sold the products, return them back.
That is, we see a real possibility of reaching high growth rates of at least 8% per year, so I cannot agree with the forecasts of our official departments, which are drawn to us (following Washington) minus 8% this year. Where does minus 8% come from? From the World Bank and the Monetary Fund.
From Washington they are trying to impose on us such a pessimistic forecast that “you will have minus 10 because you started a military operation.” Where does the figure minus 10% come from? The EU cuts off exports to Russia and imports from Russia too. Then, using an econometric model, they hypothesize that Russian foreign trade will shrink by 30%. And according to this model, which, in fact, is an extrapolation of the existing relationships in the economy, they say that in this case you will have minus 10% of GDP. Although the president tells us that we need to use the opportunities.
At the last Eurasian Economic Forum, he said that foreign companies are leaving – and maybe it’s better, let them leave, let’s create these productions ourselves. Let’s do import substitution. Let’s fill the outgoing quota of the European Union with our own production. We will develop cooperation in the Eurasian Union and develop relations with our Asian partners.
That is, if we deal with the development of the economy, where money is not an end in itself, but is a tool for lending to production, then we can completely go without a recession this year. On the contrary, we can make an economic boom out of this crisis, out of the departure of European competitors. Entrepreneurial boom. To do this, you need to give loans.
It is necessary to realize the goals of raising public welfare. And not by simple cash injections to support people’s lives, but by creating new industries, new jobs. The President has spoken about this many times, but as a result, what we have today in terms of measures to stimulate economic development is, in fact, a continuation of covid small relaxations in terms of regulation. In terms of reducing the bureaucratic pressure, unfortunately, there are no real opportunities for increasing import substitution investments and implementing long-term development programs.
Concluding my speech, I will say that the image of the future, it seems to me, is quite obvious. If we understand that before the end of this century, most likely, the American hybrid war will end in failure for them. They, in their Russophobia, which is in their subcortex, may not yet realize this. Therefore, having China as their main adversary, they attacked us, since Russophobia is embedded in Anglo-Saxon geopolitics.
Geopolitics, which teaches American and British politicians, is based on books of the 19th and 20th centuries – from Halford Mackinder to Zbigniew Brzezinski, and everywhere their main idea is “how to destroy Russia.” Geopolitics is a classic pseudoscience on the topic “how to destroy Russia in any of its historical forms.”
They became a victim of their genetic Russophobic orientation. They lost to China in the trade war and now they’ve got a hold of us. When Crimea was reunited with us, I said many times that there would have been sanctions anyway. Would have reunited with the Crimea, or vice versa, disgraced, – all the same, there would have been sanctions. And today’s war, we also understand, was inevitable. Just 8 years ago it was possible to do without a war and take the entire south-east of Ukraine without firing a shot, people themselves came to us.
Now we have to correct this delay at the cost of great efforts and sacrifices.
But this conflict was inevitable precisely because of the genetic Russophobia of the American-English ruling elite, which is essentially the ideological and economic core of the Western world. And they seek to erase us, as they put it, without any equivocation, I would say.
Don’t underestimate this. When the Polish prime minister says “erase”, it means to naturally erase, as it was in 1917 when the Russian Empire was erased. As it was after the Time of Troubles, when the Muscovite kingdom was erased. That is, there were precedents when Russia was erased – erased ideologically, culturally, up to the destruction of all monuments, as far as they could reach, to the burning of chronicles and the like.
They have a plan. They think Russia is the key to world domination. In their delusional mind, this is so. In the foundations of their Anglo-Saxon geopolitics, ever since Mackinder, they teach that in order to control the world, you need to control Eurasia.they call it the big island. In Eurasia, the main one who holds control. this is Russia.
Therefore, in order to control the world, Russia needs to be captured, crushed, destroyed. Then the next goal is the destruction of Iran, this is absolutely obvious. And then they think that by encircling China on all sides and isolating it from the rest of the world, they will retain dominance, retain hegemony.
This is an absolutely utopian project, they will lose the war. They are already losing a key advantage before our eyes. Those very notorious sanctions, because of which we lost our foreign exchange reserves and our offshore business today does not know how to continue to work.
In fact, from the point of view of the future prospects of a hybrid war, this is an ace of trumps, because their main advantage was in issuing world currency. And then they played their ace of trumps. They no longer have a world currency, no one trusts them anymore – neither politically, nor ideologically, nor economically. An exodus from the dollar has begun.
The Chinese are selling dollar reserves. Their satellites are still afraid to do this, but here whoever sells dollars faster will lose less. Absolutely obvious. Let’s not forget that half of the dollars that Americans print on a massive scale are outside the US. This wave of dollars is returning to America today. If earlier it was considered, they say, it’s good that capital is being drawn into the country, now the avalanche is clearly acquiring inflationary consequences and the collapse of the giant financial bubbles that make up the Western financial and economic system is not far off.
Today we are thinking about creating a new accounting currency that would be linked to exchange commodities. We are building an alliance with China “One train – one way.” We are trying to restore international law in Eurasian integration and strictly adhere to the principles of voluntariness and respect for sovereignty, mutual benefit, and transparency. That is, we create an attractive image of the new world order. New world economic order.
The trouble is that without faster economic growth, our vision of the future will not be convincing. Please note that our Eurasian ideologists, for example, Trubetskoy, they brilliantly completely foresaw the collapse of the Soviet Union at the end of the 20s of the last century, which then just got on its feet.
He said that after the state of workers and peasants has exhausted itself, a new community, above class, will be formed. The Soviet Union will lose its ideological core and collapse. Next comes the era of nationalism. The fragments of the Soviet Union will be seduced by nationalistic ideas in order to bring our big country together again. And then it is necessary to overcome nationalism and get rid of Nazism, of course.
No national or other exclusivity should be allowed! And the basis for a new union can only be an understanding of the commonality of one’s history. Pay attention to how the Chinese intercept the slogans of the Eurasians. China calls for the unity of all the peoples of the common destiny of mankind. What are “peoples of a common destiny”? These are the peoples of one country. This understanding of the common destiny of mankind is, in fact, the ideological basis of the great Eurasian partnership that our president is talking about.
But in order to be a leader in this partnership, and not a periphery, it is necessary to ensure advanced rates of economic development. This requires the ideology of the common cause, the common good.
Concluding my speech, I will briefly say that this ideology should absorb the achievements of socialism. It is no accident that both China and India are dominated by socialist ideology, and with different political constructions. Socialism as the idea of the common good, where the main meaning of the state is the service to society. The state does not serve certain social groups, like our oligarchy or bureaucracy, or anyone else. The state is seriously and truly engaged in improving public welfare.
Therefore, of course, the socialist idea must be present. Without it, a new way of life is impossible, besides, it has already taken shape. Socialism must return again as the dominant ideology, the core of the world economic system of Southeast Asia. If we look at the Japanese model or the Korean one, we will also see the familiar features of the socialist ideology. This is a state that plans, a state of development.
As for the issue of ethical values. The new technological order really challenges humanity in the sense that it is technologically possible to transition to a post-humanoid state. The emergence of cyborgs, manipulation of consciousness, artificial intelligence. These are all signs of a transition to a post-human civilization, and if we lose our traditional ethical standards, if we allow this new oligarchic world government to dominate, do not expect good things. In this case, humanity is finished.
And, since we are at the forefront of a hybrid war, we can really consider that the war with the West is for the fate of mankind. And the West today has no image of the future. Universal chipization, artificial intelligence and dehumanization, LGBT, the destruction of the family, the cessation of all forms of human identity – this is an image of death, not the future. This is what the West brings us. Since we are in direct confrontation with him, we can assume that we are really fighting for the preservation of humanity.
The question is what should be the ideology here. Obviously, it should be based on traditional values.To put it briefly, this should be an image of Christian socialism, already largely vulgarized in Europe. With the understanding that we have not only Christian socialism, but also Islamic socialism, Buddhist socialism. I would call this ideology a social conservative synthesis. A combination of traditional moral values that grew out of the great religions, with the demands of social justice, a welfare state and a state of development.
Thank you for your attention.
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