Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine Alexey Danilov called on Georgia and Moldova to open up a so-called “second front” against Russia by attacking Abkhazia and South Ossetia as well as Transnistria, respectively, both of which have Russian military presences. He portrayed his proposal as some kind of national liberation campaign to reclaim what their governments officially regard as their lost territories, but all that Danilov ended up doing was proving that Kiev’s losing its conflict with Russia.
Moscow’s ongoing special military operation in that former Soviet Republic is proceeding apace and just entered its second phase late last week whereby the focus will now be placed on liberating the rest of the newly recognized Donbass Republics. Nevertheless, the US-led Western Mainstream Media (MSM) continues to spin the falsehood that Russia is “losing” the conflict. The basis of this narrative is the purposely false expectations that their targeted audience was misled to have in order to subsequently misportray the conflict’s dynamics in an unfavorable light towards Russia no matter what happens.
Objectively speaking, if Kiev really was “winning” like its foreign supporters so passionately claim, then it wouldn’t need to call on two separate countries to open up a “second front” against Russia. Not only that, but Kiev itself could open up yet another one on its own by attacking Crimea, the peninsula that it continues to claim as its territory despite the vast majority of its population democratically choosing to reunite with Russia in early 2014 after the US-backed spree of urban terrorism popularly known in the West as “EuroMaidan” led to the first European coup in decades.
Kiev is reluctant to do that even if it still had the capability (which it doesn’t) since Moscow would regard that as an attack against its own territory and would thus respond accordingly. Tbilisi and Chisinau seem similarly deterred too since these non-NATO members also don’t want to feel the wrath of the Russian Armed Forces (RAF) if they’re provoked to respond against them in self-defense just like they were against Kiev late last month after America’s ethno-fascist proxy state refused to stop its genocide of the indigenous Russian people in Donbass.
While there’s a bit of truth to Danilov’s prediction that opening up more fronts would divide some of the RAF’s attention, nobody should expect that it would dilute its focus to the point where all of its opponents could simultaneously achieve breakthroughs and ultimately attain their military-strategic objectives. Rather, Russia would likely be compelled to resort to more heavy-handed measures in self-defense than those that it’s currently employing in Ukraine out of concern for minimizing civilian casualties and collateral damage if it either of those two launched surprise attacks against its forces.
To be absolutely clear, Russia fully complies with international law when it comes to carrying out kinetic action against others in self-defense, but what’s being predicted here is that it would be less willing to put more its limited number of troops in harm’s way like it’s presently doing in Ukraine if it absolutely had to ensure the integrity of its national security red lines along either of those two fronts. Georgia and Moldova are keenly aware of this and that’s why they’re unlikely to comply with Kiev’s demand since they know very well that this fellow former Soviet Republic is basically asking them to commit suicide.
Once again, observers should ask themselves why Kiev would need to rely on much smaller and comparatively weaker militaries like Georgia’s and Moldova’s opening up new fronts if it really was “winning” like how the MSM claims. It simply doesn’t make sense, and one can acknowledge this objective reality even if they personally sympathize with Kiev’s cause for whatever their personal reasons may be. Those that do, however, should then ask themselves why they’re still being bombarded with a never-ending dosage of fake news that’s attempting to make them think that Kiev is “winning”.
By Andrew Korybko Via https://oneworld.press/?module=articles&action=view&id=2656