US State Department declares that it will counteract Russia’s “military activity” near Ukraine (in Russian) and we all know that it cannot but there are other ways.
The U.S. imposed sanctions on a ship involved in the construction of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline as the Biden administration looks to exert more pressure on Russia without antagonizing Germany.
In related news, I have in mind a list of janitors and drivers from Gazprom who could be sanctioned by the US. Hey, that will show them, damn Russkies. And, of course, how can one live without Ted Cruz performing a simulation of productive activity.
That’s modern America for you. Having said all that, I want to reiterate–NATO doesn’t have forces not only to “counter-act” anything Russia does but even if it wanted to it still has no means to fight a war with Russia. Meddling in 404? Absolutely! Throw in some advisors, some Javelins, some ammo and some boats. Of course, it changes absolutely nothing, but CJCS General Milley and Valery Gerasimov had a conversation today over the phone.
I respect General Keane’s career and all, but he really should update himself on “what the US learned” about Soviet Union and deterrence. I’ll give him a hint–US learned nothing. At this stage I doubt that General Keane who is retired and is 78, I believe, even despite his, I am sure, serious connections in Pentagon fully grasps what has already transpired. For starters the United States never could defend itself from the launch of Soviet cruise missiles and that is why were so anxious to sign the INF treaty which would make this missile removed from Soviet subs.Obviously we are talking about RK-55 Granat (SS-N-21) “Sampson” cruise missile. But never allow facts to get in a way of a good narrative, including this BS about Russia “invading” 404.
They have no clue how this war, if it comes to it, will look like, including if NATO, headed by the US, decides to somehow “intervene”. Here is a question to General Keane–what are you going to do if this happens and provocation succeeds? Keane was in Vietnam, so he knows how it looks and feels like when things go not as planned. I am not counting all those “experiences” in Iraq and Kosovo as serious campaigns. I already gave a ball park number of a required NATO force to fight Russia in Ukraine–it has to be around a million of combat personnel to have any chance to accomplish anything, forget having some sort of “victory”, whatever it will be called such by NATO. Good luck assembling it in a month (while Russia can mobilize 2 million in approximately the same time), or even in 3 months and then trying to conduct combined arms operations in 404. The United States cannot conduct serious combined arms war in Europe even if it wants to–she simply has no resources for that and time doesn’t stand still. With each passing moment the myth of the “finest fighting force in history” evaporates and without this myth the scaffolding of the American Empire continues to collapse with the increasing speed. The time is running out fast, really fast.
This is what drives D.C. insane, especially humiliated Pentagon, which still has enough policy “advisors” (mostly civilian political scientists warmongers) who think that the US can fight Russia in Ukraine. As Bernhard of Moon of Alabama suggests:
The White House Needs An Off-ramp From War In Ukraine
For an institution which didn’t win a single war in the last 70 years with the exception of a turkey shoot against utterly backward Iraqi force and never faced equal of superior enemy (no surprise for an institution venerating a military mediocrity such as Patton as a “great” general) the desire to wash off, let’s speak without undue restrain here, the shame of Iraq and Afghanistan, the idea that they can fight Russia is down right preposterous. As are, for the most part, most of the military power metrics used till recently by the US policy-makers as a proof of the US military superiority such as… the size of military budget and visuals of, indeed, impressive US Navy carriers. As Bernhard concludes:
I don’t think that a deal would actually help Biden in the polls. The hawks would scream about it. They want a war in the Ukraine and the U.S. involved in it. However the U.S. public is still unlikely to support a war against Russia which would likely soon escalate. But a Ukrainian Russian war that the Ukraine is sure to lose and in which the White House does not intervene will lead to huge loss of face. That prospect then may indeed motivate Biden to give Russia the guarantees it wants.
Now, Andrei Raevsky gives a good write-up on Russia’s forces and their distribution at what one would call “threatening directions (axis)”. Andrei concludes: