A member of Ukrainian parliament from the Opposition Platform – For Life party by the name of Oleg Voloshin said in a television interview that Ukraine will inevitably surrender (capitulate) to Russia.
According to the deputy, Kiev’s refusal to take a constructive approach in negotiations with Moscow could doom Ukraine to a cold winter.
The parliamentarian recalled the difficult situation with energy resources in the country, because of which the population may have problems with heating.
“In this situation, negotiations on Eastern Ukraine are already of secondary importance. Naturally, if we are still plodding on Donbass, then what kind of preferential supplies of gas and coal may be. <…> They said:” No capitulation “(No surrender). But it is already inevitable. Economically and energetically, capitulation is inevitable,” Voloshin said.
Therefore, the MP stressed the need to establish a dialogue with Russia and called on Ukrainian nationalists not to interfere with this process.
“In these conditions, the authorities should throw away this patriotic pathos and finally say:” We cannot just stop the war without Russia, we cannot ensure the availability of heat in apartments without Russia, we cannot ensure the work of the remnants of our industry without Russia, we are without Russia we cannot ensure the availability of electricity in power grids.” <…> This is the current position of Russia in relation to Ukraine,” the MP noted.
Voloshin expressed the opinion that if the current Ukrainian government is unable to come to an agreement with Russia, then their successors will have to establish relations with their eastern neighbor, who will come to the leadership of the country after the popular unrest caused by the fatigue of Ukrainians from the difficult economic situation in the state.
Meanwhile, the energy crisis could potentially be made even worse as Ukraine is expecting another tranche of its IMF loan to come by year’s end.
“We believe that the IMF will pay [Ukraine] a tranche of $1.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2021, but is considering a possible range of this amount from $1 billion to $1.5 billion,” J.P. Morgan says in the EMEA EM Emerging Markets research, Kyiv Post reports.
As reported, the IMF and Ukraine currently have a Stand-By Arrangement to the tune of about $5 billion, signed in June last year. Kyiv immediately received the first tranche in the amount of about $2.1 billion, but subsequent disbursements have not yet arrived in Ukraine. The NBU hopes that the current SBA, designed for 18 months, will be extended for another period of six to nine months. The Ukrainian side is currently negotiating this issue with the International Monetary Fund.
On October 12, the International Monetary Fund presented its World Economic Outlook. According to the document, the IMF downgraded Ukraine’s GDP growth forecast by 20% for 2021 but slightly upgraded its estimate for 2022.